Custom Seat Calculator

Enter your own poll and generate seat projections with an interactive map

National Polling

Quick Fill
Vote Shares
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Labour
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Con
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Reform
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Lib Dem
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Green
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SNP
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Plaid
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Others
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Total 0.0%
Enter at least two parties. Values will be normalised if they don't total 100%.
Advanced Options
Inputs changed - run projection to update results

Projected Seats

Constituency Map

Swings vs GE2024

GB-only results (excludes Northern Ireland)

Constituency Results

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Methodology

This calculator uses a Uniform National Swing (UNS) model based on 2024 General Election results for 632 GB constituencies.

  • Base Data: GE2024 results (excluding NI)
  • Swing Calculation: Difference between GE2024 and your input
  • Seat Allocation: FPTP winner determination per constituency

Note: UNS doesn't account for regional variations, tactical voting, or local factors.

Result Summary

Run a projection to see results

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I use the Custom Seat Calculator?

Enter your own polling percentages for each party (Labour, Conservative, Reform UK, Liberal Democrats, Greens, SNP, Plaid Cymru, Others). The calculator will automatically project Westminster seats using uniform national swing methodology and display results with seat counts, vote shares, and detailed constituency breakdowns.

What is uniform national swing (UNS)?

Uniform national swing applies the same vote share change to every constituency. If Labour gains 5% nationally, we add 5% to Labour's vote share in every seat, then determine the winner. This is a simplified model that doesn't account for local factors.

Can I test tactical voting scenarios?

Yes, the Custom Seat Calculator includes tactical voting scenarios. You can select options like Anti-Reform Coalition, Progressive Alliance, or Conservative-Reform Alliance to see how tactical voting might affect seat outcomes in marginal constituencies.

How accurate are custom seat projections?

Projections are estimates based on uniform national swing. Accuracy depends on how realistic your input polling numbers are and how close to an election you're projecting. Local factors, candidate quality, and regional variations aren't captured by UNS, so treat projections as estimates.

What results does the calculator show?

The calculator displays projected seat counts for each party, vote share percentages, seat swings from GE2024, and a detailed breakdown of constituency results. You can also view marginal seats, filter by region, and see how tactical voting scenarios would affect outcomes.

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Custom Seat Projection

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