St Helens Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on St Helens Council, with Green winning the most seats (14 of 48).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 2 (1-2) | 2 | 0 |
| Labour | 12 (9-14) | 28 | -16 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7 (6-9) | 3 | +4 |
| Green | 14 (9-15) | 4 | +10 |
| Reform UK | 4 (4-13) | 3 | +1 |
| Others | 9 (7-9) | 8 | +1 |
Key changes: -16 Lab, +10 Green, +4 LD
Note: Green projected at 14 seats from a 12% average baseline. This projection is candidacy-dependent and will be revised when April nomination data is available.
Election type: All 48 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 2, Labour 29, Liberal Democrats 4, Green 6, Others 7
Conservative 10.3% Labour 52.5% Liberal Democrats 9.9% Green 11.8% Others 15.4%
Key battleground wards
- Blackbrook - Green leads Reform UK by 2.8pp
- Thatto Heath - Labour leads Green by 3.9pp
- Newton Le Willows East - Liberal Democrats leads Reform UK by 6.6pp
- Windle - Green leads Reform UK by 8.3pp
- Sutton North West - Green leads Reform UK by 8.3pp