Southampton Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Southampton Council, with Labour winning the most seats (24 of 51).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 9 (7-11) | 9 | 0 |
| Labour | 24 (22-26) | 31 | -7 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7 (7-7) | 7 | 0 |
| Green | 2 (1-3) | 2 | 0 |
| Reform UK | 8 (5-11) | 1 | +7 |
| Others | 1 (0-1) | 1 | 0 |
Key changes: -7 Lab, +7 Ref
Election type: Elects by thirds - approximately a third of 51 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 88%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 35.7% Labour 46.7% Liberal Democrats 9.0% Green 7.1% Others 1.4%
Key battleground wards
- Woolston - Reform UK leads Conservative by 0.9pp
- Millbrook - Conservative leads Reform UK by 0.9pp
- Harefield - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.9pp
- Bargate - Labour leads Reform UK by 2.0pp
- Bitterne Park - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.2pp