Newcastle-under-Lyme - 2026 Local Election Projections
Reform UK is projected to win 34 of 44 seats on Newcastle-under-Lyme Council, taking control from the Conservatives.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 9 (8-15) | 26 | -17 |
| Labour | 1 (1-5) | 17 | -16 |
| Reform UK | 34 (24-34) | 1 | +33 |
Key changes: +33 Ref, -17 Con, -16 Lab
Election type: All 44 seats up for election
Control: Conservative to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 25, Labour 19
Conservative 48.9% Labour 45.8% Liberal Democrats 3.3% Others 1.4%
Key battleground wards
- Madeley Betley - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.3pp
- Thistleberry - Conservative leads Reform UK by 3.0pp
- Maer Whitmore - Conservative leads Reform UK by 3.4pp
- May Bank - Reform UK leads Conservative by 8.4pp
- Westbury Park Northwood - Reform UK leads Conservative by 9.1pp