Newcastle-under-Lyme Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Newcastle-under-Lyme Council, with Conservative winning the most seats (21 of 44).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 21 (16-24) | 26 | -5 |
| Labour | 12 (7-13) | 17 | -5 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1 (0-2) | 0 | +1 |
| Reform UK | 9 (8-17) | 1 | +8 |
| Others | 1 (0-1) | 0 | +1 |
Key changes: +8 Ref, -5 Con, -5 Lab
Election type: All 44 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 78%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 25, Labour 19
Conservative 49.5% Labour 46.8% Liberal Democrats 2.7%
Key battleground wards
- Wolstanton - Labour leads Reform UK by 0.4pp
- Bradwell - Labour leads Reform UK by 2.4pp
- Thistleberry - Reform UK leads Liberal Democrats by 8.9pp
- May Bank - Conservative leads Reform UK by 9.1pp
- Audley - Reform UK leads Conservative by 10.2pp