Newcastle-under-Lyme Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 33 of 44 seats on Newcastle-under-Lyme Council, taking control from the Conservatives.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 11 (7-12) | 26 | -15 |
| Labour | 0 (0-1) | 17 | -17 |
| Reform UK | 33 (31-36) | 1 | +32 |
Key changes: +32 Ref, -17 Lab, -15 Con
Election type: All 44 seats up for election
Control: Conservative to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 25, Labour 19
Conservative 49.5% Labour 46.8% Liberal Democrats 2.7%
Key battleground wards
- Thistleberry - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.0pp
- May Bank - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.3pp
- Westbury Park Northwood - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.5pp
- Maer Whitmore - Reform UK leads Conservative by 5.8pp
- Madeley Betley - Reform UK leads Conservative by 6.1pp