Merton Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Merton Council, with Labour winning the most seats (28 of 57).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3 (1-5) | 7 | -4 |
| Labour | 28 (24-29) | 30 | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 22 (18-24) | 16 | +6 |
| Reform UK | 2 (0-3) | 0 | +2 |
| Others | 2 (2-2) | 4 | -2 |
Key changes: +6 LD, -4 Con, -2 Lab
Election type: All 57 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 85%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 7, Labour 31, Liberal Democrats 17, Others 2
Conservative 24.0% Labour 38.3% Liberal Democrats 23.2% Others 14.4%
Key battleground wards
- Village - Conservative leads Liberal Democrats by 4.0pp
- Lower Morden - Labour leads Conservative by 4.5pp
- Colliers Wood - Labour leads Green by 9.1pp
- Cannon Hill - Liberal Democrats leads Reform UK by 15.5pp
- Wandle - Liberal Democrats leads Green by 21.8pp