Lincoln Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Lincoln Council, with Reform UK winning the most seats (16 of 33).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0 (0-1) | 5 | -5 |
| Labour | 10 (7-13) | 20 | -10 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7 (5-8) | 6 | +1 |
| Reform UK | 16 (13-17) | 0 | +16 |
| Others | 0 (0-0) | 2 | -2 |
Key changes: +16 Ref, -10 Lab, -5 Con
Election type: Elects by thirds - approximately a third of 33 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2024)
Conservative 1, Labour 8, Liberal Democrats 2
Conservative 21.1% Labour 45.0% Liberal Democrats 18.2% Green 5.4% Reform UK 8.1% Others 0.8%
Key battleground wards
- Boultham - Labour leads Reform UK by 3.5pp
- Minster - Reform UK leads Labour by 5.9pp
- Moorland - Reform UK leads Labour by 6.0pp
- Glebe - Liberal Democrats leads Reform UK by 6.2pp
- Park - Liberal Democrats leads Labour by 7.6pp