Isle of Wight - 2026 Local Election Projections
No party is projected to win a majority on Isle of Wight Council, with Reform UK winning the most seats (18 of 39).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 2 (1-6) | 13 | -11 |
| Labour | 0 (0-2) | 1 | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1 (0-1) | 4 | -3 |
| Green | 4 (2-7) | 2 | +2 |
| Reform UK | 18 (12-23) | 1 | +17 |
| Others | 14 (9-15) | 18 | -4 |
Key changes: +17 Ref, -11 Con, -4 Others
Election type: All 39 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 30%
Last election (2021)
Conservative 18, Labour 1, Liberal Democrats 1, Green 2, Others 17
Conservative 38.6% Labour 11.6% Liberal Democrats 5.2% Green 11.1% Others 33.5%
Key battleground wards
- Sandown North - Others leads Reform UK by 0.1pp
- Pan Barton - Reform UK leads Conservative by 1.4pp
- Cowes North - Reform UK leads Labour by 3.2pp
- Ryde West - Others leads Reform UK by 3.8pp
- Ryde Monktonmead - Reform UK leads Green by 3.9pp