Isle of Wight Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Isle of Wight Council, with Others winning the most seats (18 of 39).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 5 (3-6) | 13 | -8 |
| Labour | 1 (1-1) | 1 | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1 (1-2) | 4 | -3 |
| Green | 6 (4-8) | 2 | +4 |
| Reform UK | 8 (4-10) | 1 | +7 |
| Others | 18 (17-20) | 18 | 0 |
Key changes: -8 Con, +7 Ref, +4 Green
Election type: All 39 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 18%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 38.7% Labour 11.6% Liberal Democrats 5.2% Green 11.1% Others 33.4%
Key battleground wards
- Central Rural - Green leads Conservative by 0.4pp
- Lake South - Conservative leads Reform UK by 0.6pp
- Newport West - Reform UK leads Green by 2.5pp
- Mountjoy Shide - Reform UK leads Others by 3.5pp
- Shanklin Central - Reform UK leads Green by 4.5pp