Harrow Council Election 2026 Predictions
The Conservatives are projected to hold Harrow Council with 30 of 55 seats.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 30 (26-34) | 31 | -1 |
| Labour | 11 (8-14) | 23 | -12 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1 (0-4) | 0 | +1 |
| Green | 8 (3-12) | 0 | +8 |
| Reform UK | 4 (1-7) | 0 | +4 |
| Others | 1 (0-2) | 1 | 0 |
Key changes: -12 Lab, +8 Green, +4 Ref
Note: Green projected at 8 seats from a 7% average baseline. This projection is candidacy-dependent and will be revised when April nomination data is available.
Election type: All 55 seats up for election
Control: Conservative hold
Probability of control change: 24%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 31, Labour 24
Conservative 42.9% Labour 37.6% Liberal Democrats 9.0% Others 10.5%
Key battleground wards
- Rayners Lane - Liberal Democrats leads Reform UK by 3.1pp
- Headstone - Green leads Others by 3.2pp
- Harrow On The Hill - Conservative leads Labour by 4.0pp
- Marlborough - Green leads Labour by 5.8pp
- West Harrow - Labour leads Green by 6.3pp