Essex County Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 41 of 78 seats on Essex County Council, taking control from the Conservatives.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 10 (7-16) | 49 | -39 |
| Labour | 3 (3-4) | 6 | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13 (11-14) | 7 | +6 |
| Green | 2 (2-3) | 1 | +1 |
| Reform UK | 41 (34-47) | 1 | +40 |
| Others | 9 (7-11) | 14 | -5 |
Key changes: +40 Ref, -39 Con, +6 LD
Election type: All 78 seats up for election. Current seats estimated for new ward boundaries
Control: Conservative to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 100%
Key battleground wards
- Drury - Conservative leads Reform UK by 0.0pp
- Tendring Rural West - Reform UK leads Conservative by 0.2pp
- North Weald Nazeing - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.2pp
- Ongar Rural - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.3pp
- Clacton West - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.0pp