Cherwell Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Cherwell Council, with Liberal Democrats winning the most seats (24 of 48).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4 (3-7) | 12 | -8 |
| Labour | 8 (5-10) | 11 | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 24 (22-25) | 17 | +7 |
| Green | 4 (3-7) | 4 | 0 |
| Reform UK | 5 (2-7) | 0 | +5 |
| Others | 3 (3-3) | 4 | -1 |
Key changes: -8 Con, +7 LD, +5 Ref
Election type: Elects by thirds - approximately a third of 48 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 20%
Last election (2024)
Conservative 2, Labour 4, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 1, Others 1
Conservative 30.9% Labour 25.3% Liberal Democrats 28.3% Green 10.1% Others 5.3%
Key battleground wards
- Banbury Grimsbury Hightown - Labour leads Reform UK by 0.8pp
- Banbury Cross Neithrop - Labour leads Reform UK by 6.0pp
- Banbury Calthorpe Easington - Conservative leads Reform UK by 7.8pp
- Banbury Hardwick - Labour leads Reform UK by 10.1pp
- Deddington - Conservative leads Reform UK by 15.5pp