Birmingham - 2026 Local Election Projections
No party is projected to win a majority on Birmingham Council, with Conservative winning the most seats (23 of 101).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 23 (17-29) | 21 | +2 |
| Labour | 20 (15-26) | 52 | -32 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12 (10-14) | 13 | -1 |
| Green | 6 (6-15) | 2 | +4 |
| Reform UK | 19 (11-28) | 0 | +19 |
| Others | 21 (12-21) | 13 | +8 |
Key changes: -32 Lab, +19 Ref, +8 Others
Election type: All 101 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 22, Labour 65, Liberal Democrats 12, Green 2
Conservative 27.3% Labour 51.7% Liberal Democrats 14.8% Green 5.1% Others 1.0%
Key battleground wards
- Balsall Heath West - Others leads Conservative by 0.1pp
- Brandwood Kings Heath - Labour leads Green by 0.7pp
- Billesley - Reform UK leads Labour by 0.9pp
- Frankley Great Park - Reform UK leads Conservative by 0.9pp
- Rubery Rednal - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.4pp