Birmingham Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Birmingham Council, with Labour winning the most seats (42 of 101).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 24 (19-29) | 21 | +3 |
| Labour | 42 (33-43) | 52 | -10 |
| Liberal Democrats | 15 (15-17) | 13 | +2 |
| Green | 8 (5-14) | 2 | +6 |
| Reform UK | 12 (9-19) | 0 | +12 |
| Others | 0 (0-0) | 13 | -13 |
Key changes: -13 Others, +12 Ref, -10 Lab
Election type: All 101 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 22, Labour 65, Liberal Democrats 12, Green 2
Conservative 27.5% Labour 51.5% Liberal Democrats 14.8% Green 5.2%
Key battleground wards
- Kings Norton North - Labour leads Reform UK by 0.2pp
- Glebe Farm Tile Cross - Labour leads Reform UK by 1.4pp
- Allens Cross - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.0pp
- Gravelly Hill - Green leads Reform UK by 2.2pp
- Newtown - Labour leads Green by 2.3pp