Constituency profile

Wolverhampton North East

West Midlands · Borough constituency

Sureena Brackenridge MP
Sitting MP

Sureena Brackenridge

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLCL
Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5
EU referendum 2016
67.7% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +15.8pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +10.3pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profileDiverse

Who lives in Wolverhampton North East? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
67.7%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
21.8%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
26.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
56.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
42.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
21.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
31.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Wolverhampton North East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 5,422 votes (16.3pp) · turnout 47.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Wolverhampton North East

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Wolverhampton North East within Wolverhampton and Walsall

Wolverhampton North East crosses multiple council boundaries: Wolverhampton (75%), Walsall (25%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Wolverhampton
49 LSOAs
75%View projection ›
Walsall
16 LSOAs
25%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Wolverhampton North East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Wolverhampton North East at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdEmma Reynolds41.4%34.3%13.5%3.3% UKIP-7.5%2,48459.2%
2015Lab holdEmma Reynolds46.1%29.9%2.7%19.2% UKIP2.1%-5,49555.7%
2017Lab holdEmma Reynolds52.8%40.3%1.6%4.1% UKIP1.3%-4,58760.1%
2019notionalConservative winnerJane Stevenson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary35.9%55.7%3.6%-1.8%3.0%7,84756.2%
2024Lab gain from ConSureena Brackenridge42.9%26.6%3.0%23.2% Ref4.3%-5,42247.1%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Wolverhampton North East

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wolverhampton North East. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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