Constituency profile

Windsor

South East · County constituency

Jack Rankin MP
Sitting MP

Jack Rankin

Conservative

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
46.7% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -5.2pp below mean
Current outlook
Conservative +5.6pp
vs Reform UK 22.4%
SouthernBrexit-marginalGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Windsor? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
46.7%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
41.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
12.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
60.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
38.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.1
UK median ~40
Age 65+
19.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
31.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Windsor vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 6,457 votes (14.2pp) · turnout 61.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Windsor

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Windsor within Windsor and Maidenhead and Slough and 1 other council

Windsor crosses multiple council boundaries: Windsor and Maidenhead (64%), Slough (19%), Runnymede (16%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Windsor and Maidenhead
40 LSOAs
64%
Slough
12 LSOAs
19%
Runnymede
10 LSOAs
16%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Windsor at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Windsor at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdAdam Afriyie9.9%60.8%22.4%3.3% UKIP1.3%2.3%19,05471.3%
2015Con holdAdam Afriyie13.4%63.4%8.6%10.0% UKIP3.7%1.0%25,08370.1%
2017Con holdAdam Afriyie22.9%64.4%10.1%-2.7%-22,38473.3%
2019notionalConservative winnerAdam Afriyie 2019 MP, pre-review boundary19.6%56.0%18.9%-3.5%2.0%18,24767.3%
2024Con holdJack Rankin22.2%36.4%21.1%10.3% Ref5.1%5.0%6,45761.7%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Windsor

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Windsor. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.