Constituency profile

Wimbledon

London · Borough constituency

Mr Paul Kohler MP
Sitting MP

Mr Paul Kohler

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCLD
Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5
EU referendum 2016
29.4% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -22.5pp below mean
Current outlook
Liberal Democrats +24.4pp
vs Conservative 20.9%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Wimbledon? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
29.4%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
60.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
9.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
61.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
38.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
17.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
30.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Wimbledon vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 12,610 votes (23.0pp) · turnout 72.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Wimbledon

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Wimbledon within Merton and Kingston upon Thames

Wimbledon crosses multiple council boundaries: Merton (82%), Kingston upon Thames (18%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Merton
56 LSOAs
82%View projection ›
Kingston upon Thames
12 LSOAs
18%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Wimbledon at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Wimbledon at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdStephen Hammond22.3%49.1%25.0%1.9% UKIP1.2%0.5%11,40872.1%
2015Con holdStephen Hammond26.0%52.1%12.7%5.1% UKIP4.1%-12,61973.5%
2017Con holdStephen Hammond35.6%46.5%14.5%1.1% UKIP2.4%-5,62277.2%
2019notionalConservative winnerStephen Hammond 2019 MP, pre-review boundary20.8%39.8%38.3%-0.2%0.9%83976.2%
2024LD gain from ConPaul Kohler21.3%22.2%45.1%5.9% Ref4.4%1.1%12,61072.0%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Wimbledon

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wimbledon. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.