Constituency profile

Whitehaven and Workington

North West · County constituency · Cumberland borough

Josh MacAlister MP
Sitting MP

Josh MacAlister

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
County constituency, Cumberland council
Last 5 GE winners
LLCCL
Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5
EU referendum 2016
60.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +8.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +6.4pp
Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Whitehaven and Workington? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
60.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
25.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
21.6%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
68.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
46.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.7%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.8%
UK average ~28%

How did Whitehaven and Workington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 13,286 votes (31.8pp) · turnout 57.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Whitehaven and Workington

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Whitehaven and Workington within Cumberland

The Westminster constituency of Whitehaven and Workington sits entirely within Cumberland Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Cumberland
62 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Whitehaven and Workington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Whitehaven and Workington at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdJamie Reed Copeland MP46.0%37.1%10.2%2.3% UKIP0.9%3.4%3,83367.8%
2015predecessorLab holdJamie Reed Copeland MP42.3%35.8%3.5%15.5% UKIP3.0%-2,56463.8%
2017predecessorCon gain from LabTrudy Harrison Copeland MP45.1%49.1%3.3%2.5% UKIP--1,69569.5%
2019notionalConservative winnerTrudy Harrison Copeland MP, pre-review boundary44.1%48.4%4.0%-1.2%2.3%2,14467.3%
2024Lab gain from ConJosh MacAlister53.0%20.2%2.7%21.2% Ref2.9%-13,28657.2%

Whitehaven and Workington was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Copeland (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Whitehaven and Workington

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Whitehaven and Workington. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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