Who is the MP for Westmorland and Lonsdale?

Tim Farron (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Westmorland and Lonsdale. They were first elected in May 2005.

Who won Westmorland and Lonsdale at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Westmorland and Lonsdale was won by Liberal Democrats with 62.7% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 19.4%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Westmorland and Lonsdale?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 54.0% and Reform UK on 19.0% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Westmorland and Lonsdale in?

Westmorland and Lonsdale sits within Westmorland and Furness council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Westmorland and Furness covers most or all of the Westmorland and Lonsdale area.

What is the demographic profile of Westmorland and Lonsdale?

Westmorland and Lonsdale is in North West. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 47.1% in 2016). Around 37.1% of residents have a degree, a median age of 51, and 70.3% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Westmorland and Lonsdale?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Westmorland and Lonsdale, Liberal Democrats won with 62.7% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Westmorland and Lonsdale in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Westmorland and Lonsdale: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Liberal Democrats, 2017 Liberal Democrats, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Westmorland and Lonsdale

North West · County constituency · Westmorland and Furness borough

Sitting MP

Tim Farron

Liberal Democrat

First elected May 2005

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

North West

County constituency, Westmorland and Furness council

Last 5 GE winners

LDLDLDCLD

Liberal Democrats 4/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

47.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -4.8pp below mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +35.0pp

vs Reform UK 19.0%

NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Westmorland and Lonsdale? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

47.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

37.1%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

14.8%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

70.3%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

28.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

51.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

32.1%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

21.4%

UK average ~28%

How did Westmorland and Lonsdale vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 21,472 votes (43.3pp) · turnout 68.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Westmorland and Lonsdale

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Westmorland and Lonsdale within Westmorland and Furness

The Westminster constituency of Westmorland and Lonsdale sits entirely within Westmorland and Furness Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Westmorland and Furness 53 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Westmorland and Lonsdale at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Westmorland and Lonsdale at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	LD hold	Tim Farron	2.2%	36.2%	60.0%	1.6% UKIP	-	-	12,264	76.9%
2015	LD hold	Tim Farron	5.4%	33.2%	51.5%	6.2% UKIP	3.7%	-	8,949	74.3%
2017	LD hold	Tim Farron	9.3%	44.3%	45.8%	-	-	0.6%	777	77.9%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Neil Hudson Penrith and The Border MP, pre-review boundary	6.9%	50.2%	40.7%	-	0.5%	1.7%	5,140	74.9%
2024	LD gain from Con	Tim Farron	4.7%	19.4%	62.7%	9.8% Ref	3.0%	0.5%	21,472	68.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Westmorland and Lonsdale

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Westmorland and Lonsdale. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.