Who is the MP for Waveney Valley?

Adrian Ramsay (Green Party) is the MP for Waveney Valley. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Waveney Valley at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Waveney Valley was won by Green with 41.7% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 30.3%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Waveney Valley?

PollCheck's current projection has Green on 40.6% and Reform UK on 30.3% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Waveney Valley in?

Waveney Valley crosses multiple council boundaries: South Norfolk (44%), Mid Suffolk (38%), East Suffolk (18%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Waveney Valley?

Waveney Valley is in East of England. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 55.7% in 2016). Around 28.6% of residents have a degree, a median age of 52, and 72.1% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Waveney Valley?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Waveney Valley, Green won with 41.7% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Waveney Valley in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Waveney Valley: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Green.

Constituency profile

Waveney Valley

East of England · County constituency

Sitting MP

Adrian Ramsay

Green Party

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East of England

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCG

Conservative 4/5, Green 1/5

EU referendum 2016

55.7% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +3.8pp above mean

Current outlook

Green +10.3pp

vs Reform UK 30.3%

SouthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Waveney Valley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

55.7%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

28.6%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

19.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

72.1%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

26.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

51.8

UK median ~40

Age 65+

33.9%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

20.4%

UK average ~28%

How did Waveney Valley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Green gain from Con · majority 5,594 votes (11.4pp) · turnout 67.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Waveney Valley

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Waveney Valley within South Norfolk and Mid Suffolk and 1 other council

Waveney Valley crosses multiple council boundaries: South Norfolk (44%), Mid Suffolk (38%), East Suffolk (18%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
South Norfolk 24 LSOAs	44%
Mid Suffolk 21 LSOAs	38%
East Suffolk 10 LSOAs	18%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Waveney Valley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Waveney Valley at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	Daniel Poulter Central Suffolk and North Ipswich MP	16.2%	50.8%	25.0%	4.4% UKIP	2.7%	0.9%	13,786	70.5%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Daniel Poulter Central Suffolk and North Ipswich MP	18.8%	56.1%	6.1%	13.8% UKIP	4.9%	0.3%	20,144	70.6%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Dan Poulter Central Suffolk and North Ipswich MP	29.7%	60.1%	4.3%	2.9% UKIP	2.9%	-	17,185	72.4%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Dan Poulter Central Suffolk and North Ipswich MP, pre-review boundary	18.6%	62.2%	9.2%	-	9.3%	0.7%	22,364	72.7%
2024	Green gain from Con	Adrian Ramsay	9.4%	30.3%	2.5%	15.9% Ref	41.7%	0.2%	5,594	67.2%

Waveney Valley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Central Suffolk and North Ipswich (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Waveney Valley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Waveney Valley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.