Constituency profile

Tottenham

London · Borough constituency

Mr David Lammy MP
Sitting MP

Mr David Lammy

Labour

First elected June 2000Cabinet: Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for Justice

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
23.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -28.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +10.6pp
vs Green 26.5%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Tottenham? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
23.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
41.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
22.5%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
27.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
70.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
34.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
10.7%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
41.3%
UK average ~28%

How did Tottenham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,434 votes (38.5pp) · turnout 52.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Tottenham

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Tottenham within Haringey and Hackney

Tottenham crosses multiple council boundaries: Haringey (82%), Hackney (18%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Haringey
60 LSOAs
82%View projection ›
Hackney
13 LSOAs
18%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Tottenham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Tottenham at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdDavid Lammy59.3%14.9%17.7%1.1% UKIP2.4%4.6%16,93159.1%
2015Lab holdDavid Lammy67.3%12.0%4.1%3.6% UKIP9.2%3.8%23,56460.1%
2017Lab holdDavid Lammy81.6%11.5%3.4%0.9% UKIP2.6%-34,58467.7%
2019notionalLabour winnerDavid Lammy 2019 MP, pre-review boundary77.8%11.1%5.0%-4.3%1.8%30,48860.2%
2024Lab holdDavid Lammy57.5%5.8%4.8%4.0% Ref19.0%9.0%15,43452.9%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Tottenham

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Tottenham. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.