Who is the MP for Torridge and Tavistock?

Sir Geoffrey Cox (Conservative) is the MP for Torridge and Tavistock. They were first elected in May 2005.

Who won Torridge and Tavistock at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Torridge and Tavistock was won by Conservative with 31.6% of the vote, ahead of Liberal Democrats on 23.8%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Torridge and Tavistock?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 31.2% and Liberal Democrats on 25.6% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Torridge and Tavistock in?

Torridge and Tavistock crosses multiple council boundaries: Torridge (72%), West Devon (28%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Torridge and Tavistock?

Torridge and Tavistock is in South West. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 54.0% in 2016). Around 28.5% of residents have a degree, a median age of 52, and 70.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Torridge and Tavistock?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Torridge and Tavistock, Conservative won with 31.6% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Torridge and Tavistock in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Torridge and Tavistock: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Conservative.

Constituency profile

Torridge and Tavistock

South West · County constituency

Sitting MP

Sir Geoffrey Cox

Conservative

First elected May 2005

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South West

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCC

Conservative 5/5

EU referendum 2016

54.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +2.1pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +5.6pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Conservative projected to lose)

SouthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Torridge and Tavistock? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

54.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

28.5%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.8%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

70.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

28.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

51.7

UK median ~40

Age 65+

33.5%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

21.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Torridge and Tavistock vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 3,950 votes (7.8pp) · turnout 68.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Torridge and Tavistock

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Torridge and Tavistock within Torridge and West Devon

Torridge and Tavistock crosses multiple council boundaries: Torridge (72%), West Devon (28%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Torridge 38 LSOAs	72%
West Devon 15 LSOAs	28%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Torridge and Tavistock at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Torridge and Tavistock at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	Geoffrey Cox Torridge and West Devon MP	5.3%	45.7%	40.3%	5.5% UKIP	1.9%	1.4%	2,957	71.4%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Geoffrey Cox Torridge and West Devon MP	10.6%	50.9%	13.2%	18.3% UKIP	7.0%	-	18,403	72.0%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Geoffrey Cox Torridge and West Devon MP	21.7%	56.5%	17.7%	-	2.7%	1.3%	20,686	73.9%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Geoffrey Cox Torridge and West Devon MP, pre-review boundary	17.9%	59.8%	17.9%	-	3.4%	1.0%	22,899	73.1%
2024	Con hold	Geoffrey Cox	21.2%	31.6%	23.8%	18.0% Ref	4.6%	0.8%	3,950	68.0%

Torridge and Tavistock was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Torridge and West Devon (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Torridge and Tavistock

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Torridge and Tavistock. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.