Constituency profile

The Wrekin

West Midlands · County constituency

Mark Pritchard MP
Sitting MP

Mark Pritchard

Conservative

First elected May 2005

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
59.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +7.4pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +10.1pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Conservative projected to lose)
MidlandsLeave-leaning

Who lives in The Wrekin? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
59.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.7%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
65.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
33.6%
UK average ~36%
Median age
42.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
24.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
29.3%
UK average ~28%

How did The Wrekin vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 883 votes (1.7pp) · turnout 63.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of The Wrekin

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

The Wrekin within Telford and Wrekin and Shropshire

The Wrekin crosses multiple council boundaries: Telford and Wrekin (75%), Shropshire (25%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Telford and Wrekin
48 LSOAs
75%
Shropshire
16 LSOAs
25%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for The Wrekin at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won The Wrekin at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdMark Pritchard27.1%47.7%17.4%4.5% UKIP-3.3%9,45070.1%
2015Con holdMark Pritchard26.0%49.7%4.3%16.8% UKIP3.2%-10,74368.9%
2017Con holdMark Pritchard36.1%55.4%2.7%3.3% UKIP1.6%0.8%9,56472.2%
2019notionalConservative winnerMark Pritchard 2019 MP, pre-review boundary24.3%64.7%8.0%-2.9%0.1%21,17368.9%
2024Con holdMark Pritchard30.9%32.6%9.5%19.8% Ref6.1%1.1%88363.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like The Wrekin

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to The Wrekin. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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