Who is the MP for Stratford and Bow?

Uma Kumaran (Labour) is the MP for Stratford and Bow. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Stratford and Bow at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Stratford and Bow was won by Labour with 44.1% of the vote, ahead of Others on 22.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Stratford and Bow?

PollCheck's current projection has Green on 27.2% and Labour on 26.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Stratford and Bow in?

Stratford and Bow crosses multiple council boundaries: Newham (63%), Tower Hamlets (37%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Stratford and Bow?

Stratford and Bow is in London. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 37.7% in 2016). Around 48.4% of residents have a degree, a median age of 32, and 27.7% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Stratford and Bow?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Stratford and Bow, Labour won with 44.1% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Stratford and Bow in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Stratford and Bow: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Stratford and Bow

London · Borough constituency

Sitting MP

Uma Kumaran

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

London

Borough constituency

Last 5 GE winners

LLLLL

Labour 5/5

EU referendum 2016

37.7% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -14.2pp below mean

Current outlook

Green +0.7pp

Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)

LondonRemain-leaningGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Stratford and Bow? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

37.7%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

48.4%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.0%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

27.7%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

68.5%

UK average ~36%

Median age

32.0

UK median ~40

Age 65+

8.0%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

49.0%

UK average ~28%

How did Stratford and Bow vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 11,634 votes (21.9pp) · turnout 53.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Stratford and Bow

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Stratford and Bow within Newham and Tower Hamlets

Stratford and Bow crosses multiple council boundaries: Newham (63%), Tower Hamlets (37%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Newham 43 LSOAs	63%	View projection ›
Tower Hamlets 25 LSOAs	37%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Stratford and Bow at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Stratford and Bow at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Lyn Brown West Ham MP	62.7%	14.7%	11.5%	1.6% UKIP	1.4%	8.2%	22,534	55.0%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Lyn Brown West Ham MP	68.4%	15.4%	2.7%	7.5% UKIP	5.0%	0.9%	27,986	58.2%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Lyn Brown West Ham MP	76.7%	16.2%	3.0%	1.9% UKIP	1.6%	0.6%	36,754	65.7%
2019notional	Labour winner	Lyn Brown West Ham MP, pre-review boundary	70.4%	14.5%	9.0%	-	3.7%	2.4%	26,491	64.2%
2024	Lab hold	Uma Kumaran	44.1%	7.2%	4.4%	4.8% Ref	17.3%	22.2%	11,634	53.8%

Stratford and Bow was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat West Ham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Stratford and Bow

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Stratford and Bow. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.