Who is the MP for St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire?

Ian Sollom (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire was won by Liberal Democrats with 36.9% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 28.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 39.6% and Reform UK on 22.3% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What is the demographic profile of St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire?

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire is in East of England. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 45.8% in 2016). Around 42.3% of residents have a degree, a median age of 41, and 68.3% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire, Liberal Democrats won with 36.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire

East of England · County constituency

Sitting MP

Ian Sollom

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East of England

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCLD

Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

45.8% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -6.1pp below mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +17.3pp

vs Reform UK 22.3%

SouthernBrexit-marginalGraduate-heavy

Who lives in St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

45.8%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

42.3%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

12.6%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

68.3%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

29.0%

UK average ~36%

Median age

40.9

UK median ~40

Age 65+

21.7%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

27.4%

UK average ~28%

How did St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 4,621 votes (8.7pp) · turnout 67.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire within South Cambridgeshire and Huntingdonshire

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire crosses multiple council boundaries: South Cambridgeshire (55%), Huntingdonshire (45%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
South Cambridgeshire 35 LSOAs	55%	View projection ›
Huntingdonshire 29 LSOAs	45%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	Andrew Lansley South Cambridgeshire MP	10.2%	47.4%	34.1%	3.2% UKIP	1.8%	3.3%	7,838	74.8%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Heidi Allen South Cambridgeshire MP	17.6%	51.1%	15.2%	9.8% UKIP	6.3%	-	20,594	73.1%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Heidi Allen South Cambridgeshire MP	27.2%	51.8%	18.6%	-	2.3%	-	15,952	76.2%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Anthony Browne South Cambridgeshire MP, pre-review boundary	18.8%	51.3%	26.8%	-	1.7%	1.4%	12,250	67.0%
2024	LD gain from Con	Ian Sollom	13.1%	28.2%	36.9%	10.7% Ref	5.0%	6.1%	4,621	67.7%

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat South Cambridgeshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.