Constituency profile

St Helens South and Whiston

North West · Borough constituency

Ms Marie Rimmer MP
Sitting MP

Ms Marie Rimmer

Labour

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
56.0% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +4.1pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +13.2pp
Vulnerability score 6/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernLeave-leaningWorking-class profile

Who lives in St Helens South and Whiston? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
56.0%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
27.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
21.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
62.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
36.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
42.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
23.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
28.5%
UK average ~28%

How did St Helens South and Whiston vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 11,945 votes (31.4pp) · turnout 53.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of St Helens South and Whiston

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

St Helens South and Whiston within St. Helens and Knowsley

St Helens South and Whiston crosses multiple council boundaries: St. Helens (87%), Knowsley (13%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
St. Helens
55 LSOAs
87%View projection ›
Knowsley
8 LSOAs
13%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for St Helens South and Whiston at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won St Helens South and Whiston at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdShaun Woodward52.9%17.8%22.2%2.7% UKIP-4.4%14,12259.1%
2015Lab holdMarie Rimmer59.8%15.9%5.7%14.0% UKIP4.6%-21,24362.3%
2017Lab holdMarie Rimmer67.8%21.8%4.0%3.7% UKIP2.7%-24,34366.9%
2019notionalLabour winnerMarie Rimmer 2019 MP, pre-review boundary58.1%21.3%5.7%-4.3%10.6%16,72064.0%
2024Lab holdMarie Rimmer49.7%8.0%5.8%18.3% Ref6.9%11.2%11,94553.1%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like St Helens South and Whiston

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to St Helens South and Whiston. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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