Constituency profile

South Shields

North East · Borough constituency · South Tyneside borough

Emma Lewell MP
Sitting MP

Emma Lewell

Labour

First elected May 2013

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
Borough constituency, South Tyneside council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
62.0% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +10.1pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +11.3pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in South Shields? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
62.0%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
27.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
20.5%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
57.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
41.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
44.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
26.4%
UK average ~28%

How did South Shields vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 6,653 votes (18.1pp) · turnout 53.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of South Shields

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

South Shields within South Tyneside

The Westminster constituency of South Shields sits entirely within South Tyneside Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
South Tyneside
64 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for South Shields at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won South Shields at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdDavid Miliband52.0%21.6%14.2%-2.1%10.1%11,10957.0%
2015Lab holdEmma Lewell-Buck51.3%16.6%1.8%22.0% UKIP4.5%3.9%10,61457.8%
2017Lab holdEmma Lewell-Buck61.5%25.9%1.7%7.4% UKIP3.5%-14,50864.3%
2019notionalLabour winnerEmma Lewell-Buck 2019 MP, pre-review boundary44.1%25.8%3.5%-3.1%23.5%8,36565.7%
2024Lab holdEmma Lewell-Buck41.1%11.2%3.8%23.0% Ref14.8%6.2%6,65353.9%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like South Shields

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Shields. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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