Constituency profile

South Norfolk

East of England · County constituency · South Norfolk borough

Ben Goldsborough MP
Sitting MP

Ben Goldsborough

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East of England
County constituency, South Norfolk council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
50.9% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -1.0pp below mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +3.1pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
SouthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in South Norfolk? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
50.9%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
35.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
15.0%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
73.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
25.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
44.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
27.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.2%
UK average ~28%

How did South Norfolk vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 2,826 votes (5.7pp) · turnout 67.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of South Norfolk

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

South Norfolk within South Norfolk

The Westminster constituency of South Norfolk sits entirely within South Norfolk Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
South Norfolk
56 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for South Norfolk at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won South Norfolk at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdRichard Bacon13.2%49.3%29.4%4.2% UKIP1.8%2.0%10,94072.2%
2015Con holdRichard Bacon18.4%54.3%8.2%13.7% UKIP5.4%-20,49370.8%
2017Con holdRichard Bacon30.9%58.2%8.3%-2.5%-16,67873.6%
2019notionalConservative winnerRichard Bacon 2019 MP, pre-review boundary23.4%56.5%17.0%-3.2%-17,17574.3%
2024Lab gain from ConBen Goldsborough35.0%29.3%11.6%15.3% Ref8.0%0.8%2,82667.0%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like South Norfolk

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Norfolk. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.