Who is the MP for Solihull West and Shirley?

Dr Neil Shastri-Hurst (Conservative) is the MP for Solihull West and Shirley. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Solihull West and Shirley at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Solihull West and Shirley was won by Conservative with 34.7% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 24.9%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Solihull West and Shirley?

PollCheck's current projection has Conservative on 29.8% and Reform UK on 29.7% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Solihull West and Shirley in?

Solihull West and Shirley sits within Solihull council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Solihull covers most or all of the Solihull West and Shirley area.

What is the demographic profile of Solihull West and Shirley?

Solihull West and Shirley is in West Midlands. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 56.1% in 2016). Around 40.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 44, and 77.8% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Solihull West and Shirley?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Solihull West and Shirley, Conservative won with 34.7% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Solihull West and Shirley in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Solihull West and Shirley: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Conservative.

Constituency profile

Solihull West and Shirley

West Midlands · Borough constituency · Solihull borough

Sitting MP

Dr Neil Shastri-Hurst

Conservative

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

West Midlands

Borough constituency, Solihull council

Last 5 GE winners

LDCCCC

Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

56.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +4.2pp above mean

Current outlook

Conservative +0.1pp

vs Reform UK 29.7%

MidlandsLeave-leaning

Who lives in Solihull West and Shirley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

56.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

40.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

14.7%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

77.8%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

21.2%

UK average ~36%

Median age

43.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

25.5%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

26.4%

UK average ~28%

How did Solihull West and Shirley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 4,620 votes (9.8pp) · turnout 65.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Solihull West and Shirley

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Solihull West and Shirley within Solihull

The Westminster constituency of Solihull West and Shirley sits entirely within Solihull Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Solihull 57 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Solihull West and Shirley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Solihull West and Shirley at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	LD gain from Con	Lorely Burt Solihull MP	8.9%	42.6%	42.9%	2.2% UKIP	-	3.5%	175	72.3%
2015predecessor	Con gain from LD	Julian Knight Solihull MP	10.4%	49.2%	25.7%	11.6% UKIP	3.0%	0.2%	12,902	70.3%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Julian Knight Solihull MP	21.9%	58.1%	15.7%	2.3% UKIP	2.0%	-	20,571	73.0%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Julian Knight Solihull MP, pre-review boundary	19.5%	60.9%	15.7%	-	4.0%	-	20,798	71.1%
2024	Con hold	Neil Shastri-Hurst	24.9%	34.7%	16.9%	15.3% Ref	7.0%	1.3%	4,620	65.3%

Solihull West and Shirley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Solihull (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Solihull West and Shirley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Solihull West and Shirley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.