Who is the MP for Runcorn and Helsby?

Sarah Pochin (Reform UK) is the MP for Runcorn and Helsby. They were first elected in May 2025.

Who won Runcorn and Helsby at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Runcorn and Helsby was won by Labour with 52.9% of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 18.1%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Runcorn and Helsby?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 32.9% and Labour on 28.7% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Runcorn and Helsby in?

Runcorn and Helsby crosses multiple council boundaries: Halton (70%), Cheshire West and Chester (30%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Runcorn and Helsby?

Runcorn and Helsby is in North West. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 52.2% in 2016). Around 28.6% of residents have a degree, a median age of 44, and 63.6% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Runcorn and Helsby?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Runcorn and Helsby, Labour won with 52.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Runcorn and Helsby in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Runcorn and Helsby: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Runcorn and Helsby

North West · County constituency

Sitting MP

Sarah Pochin

Reform UK

First elected May 2025

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

North West

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCLLL

Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5

EU referendum 2016

52.2% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +0.3pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +4.2pp

Vulnerability score 5/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Runcorn and Helsby? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

52.2%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

28.6%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

19.1%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

63.6%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

35.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

43.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

25.0%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

27.0%

UK average ~28%

How did Runcorn and Helsby vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 14,696 votes (34.8pp) · turnout 59.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Runcorn and Helsby

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Runcorn and Helsby within Halton and Cheshire West and Chester

Runcorn and Helsby crosses multiple council boundaries: Halton (70%), Cheshire West and Chester (30%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Halton 43 LSOAs	70%	View projection ›
Cheshire West and Chester 18 LSOAs	30%	—

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Runcorn and Helsby at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Runcorn and Helsby at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con gain from Lab	Graham Evans Weaver Vale MP	36.3%	38.5%	18.6%	2.3% UKIP	0.8%	3.5%	991	65.4%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Graham Evans Weaver Vale MP	41.4%	43.2%	3.0%	9.7% UKIP	2.5%	0.2%	806	68.5%
2017predecessor	Lab gain from Con	Mike Amesbury Weaver Vale MP	51.5%	43.7%	3.2%	-	1.6%	-	3,928	73.3%
2019notional	Labour winner	Mike Amesbury Weaver Vale MP, pre-review boundary	48.8%	36.8%	6.7%	-	2.9%	4.8%	5,779	68.2%
2024	Lab hold	Mike Amesbury	52.9%	16.0%	5.1%	18.1% Ref	6.4%	1.4%	14,696	59.7%

Runcorn and Helsby was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Weaver Vale (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Runcorn and Helsby

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Runcorn and Helsby. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.