Who is the MP for Richmond and Northallerton?

Rishi Sunak (Conservative) is the MP for Richmond and Northallerton. They were first elected in May 2015.

Who won Richmond and Northallerton at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Richmond and Northallerton was won by Conservative with 47.5% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 22.4%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Richmond and Northallerton?

PollCheck's current projection has Conservative on 39.6% and Reform UK on 31.6% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Richmond and Northallerton in?

Richmond and Northallerton sits within North Yorkshire council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but North Yorkshire covers most or all of the Richmond and Northallerton area.

What is the demographic profile of Richmond and Northallerton?

Richmond and Northallerton is in Yorkshire and The Humber. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 55.6% in 2016). Around 35.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 49, and 67.5% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Richmond and Northallerton?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Richmond and Northallerton, Conservative won with 47.5% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Richmond and Northallerton in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Richmond and Northallerton: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Conservative.

Constituency profile

Richmond and Northallerton

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · North Yorkshire borough

Sitting MP

Rishi Sunak

Conservative

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Yorkshire and The Humber

County constituency, North Yorkshire council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCC

Conservative 5/5

EU referendum 2016

55.6% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +3.7pp above mean

Current outlook

Conservative +8.0pp

vs Reform UK 31.6%

NorthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Richmond and Northallerton? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

55.6%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

35.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

15.4%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

67.5%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

31.8%

UK average ~36%

Median age

49.4

UK median ~40

Age 65+

30.6%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

24.0%

UK average ~28%

How did Richmond and Northallerton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 12,185 votes (25.1pp) · turnout 65.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Richmond and Northallerton

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Richmond and Northallerton within North Yorkshire

The Westminster constituency of Richmond and Northallerton sits entirely within North Yorkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
North Yorkshire 62 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Richmond and Northallerton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Richmond and Northallerton at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	William Hague Richmond (Yorks) MP	15.3%	62.8%	19.1%	-	2.8%	-	23,336	66.3%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Rishi Sunak Richmond (Yorks) MP	13.2%	51.4%	6.4%	15.2% UKIP	4.3%	9.6%	19,550	68.3%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Rishi Sunak Richmond (Yorks) MP	23.4%	63.9%	5.9%	-	3.1%	3.7%	23,108	70.5%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Rishi Sunak Richmond (Yorks) MP, pre-review boundary	16.4%	63.3%	12.5%	-	3.8%	4.0%	24,331	71.3%
2024	Con hold	Rishi Sunak	22.4%	47.5%	8.9%	14.7% Ref	4.2%	2.2%	12,185	65.7%

Richmond and Northallerton was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Richmond (Yorks) (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Richmond and Northallerton

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Richmond and Northallerton. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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