Who is the MP for Oxford West and Abingdon?

Layla Moran (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Oxford West and Abingdon. They were first elected in June 2017.

Who won Oxford West and Abingdon at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Oxford West and Abingdon was won by Liberal Democrats with 50.9% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 18.5%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Oxford West and Abingdon?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 47.4% and Green on 17.2% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Oxford West and Abingdon in?

Oxford West and Abingdon crosses multiple council boundaries: Vale of White Horse (67%), Oxford (33%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Oxford West and Abingdon?

Oxford West and Abingdon is in South East. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 38.0% in 2016). Around 49.8% of residents have a degree, a median age of 35, and 61.3% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Oxford West and Abingdon?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Oxford West and Abingdon, Liberal Democrats won with 50.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Oxford West and Abingdon in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Oxford West and Abingdon: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Liberal Democrats, 2019 Liberal Democrats, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Oxford West and Abingdon

South East · County constituency

Sitting MP

Layla Moran

Liberal Democrat

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South East

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCLDLDLD

Liberal Democrats 3/5, Conservative 2/5

EU referendum 2016

38.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -13.9pp below mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +30.2pp

vs Green 17.2%

SouthernRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Oxford West and Abingdon? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

38.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

49.8%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

9.4%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

61.3%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

37.6%

UK average ~36%

Median age

35.1

UK median ~40

Age 65+

19.5%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

41.5%

UK average ~28%

How did Oxford West and Abingdon vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD hold · majority 14,894 votes (32.4pp) · turnout 65.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Oxford West and Abingdon

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Oxford West and Abingdon within Vale of White Horse and Oxford

Oxford West and Abingdon crosses multiple council boundaries: Vale of White Horse (67%), Oxford (33%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Vale of White Horse 38 LSOAs	67%	—
Oxford 19 LSOAs	33%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Oxford West and Abingdon at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Oxford West and Abingdon at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con gain from LD	Nicola Blackwood	10.6%	42.3%	42.0%	2.7% UKIP	2.1%	0.3%	176	65.3%
2015	Con hold	Nicola Blackwood	12.7%	45.7%	28.9%	6.9% UKIP	4.4%	1.4%	9,582	75.2%
2017	LD gain from Con	Layla Moran	12.6%	42.4%	43.7%	1.3% UKIP	-	-	816	79.4%
2019notional	Liberal Democrat winner	Layla Moran 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	11.8%	34.1%	52.2%	-	0.5%	1.4%	9,577	73.5%
2024	LD hold	Layla Moran	13.0%	18.5%	50.9%	9.1% Ref	7.0%	1.5%	14,894	65.9%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Oxford West and Abingdon

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Oxford West and Abingdon. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.