Constituency profile

Nottingham South

East Midlands · Borough constituency · Nottingham borough

Lilian Greenwood MP
Sitting MP

Lilian Greenwood

Labour

First elected May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East Midlands
Borough constituency, Nottingham council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
46.5% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -5.4pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +5.3pp
vs Reform UK 25.3%
MidlandsBrexit-marginalDiverse

Who lives in Nottingham South? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
46.5%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
27.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
16.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
46.6%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
52.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
28.3
UK median ~40
Age 65+
14.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
51.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Nottingham South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 10,294 votes (31.3pp) · turnout 51.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Nottingham South

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Nottingham South within Nottingham

The Westminster constituency of Nottingham South sits entirely within Nottingham Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Nottingham
60 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Nottingham South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Nottingham South at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdLilian Greenwood37.3%32.9%23.1%2.4% UKIP1.5%2.8%1,77260.5%
2015Lab holdLilian Greenwood47.6%31.7%3.5%11.3% UKIP5.4%0.5%6,93663.0%
2017Lab holdLilian Greenwood62.4%30.9%3.2%2.3% UKIP1.2%-15,16267.6%
2019notionalLabour winnerLilian Greenwood 2019 MP, pre-review boundary53.8%31.6%6.7%-3.3%4.6%10,04159.3%
2024Lab holdLilian Greenwood47.4%16.1%6.3%15.0% Ref8.9%6.4%10,29451.2%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Nottingham South

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Nottingham South. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.