Who is the MP for North Cornwall?

Ben Maguire (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for North Cornwall. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won North Cornwall at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in North Cornwall was won by Liberal Democrats with 47.0% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 27.6%.

Who is projected to win the next election in North Cornwall?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 41.2% and Reform UK on 31.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is North Cornwall in?

North Cornwall sits within Cornwall council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Cornwall covers most or all of the North Cornwall area.

What is the demographic profile of North Cornwall?

North Cornwall is in South West. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 60.2% in 2016). Around 28.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 49, and 65.5% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in North Cornwall?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In North Cornwall, Liberal Democrats won with 47.0% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won North Cornwall in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in North Cornwall: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

North Cornwall

South West · County constituency · Cornwall borough

Sitting MP

Ben Maguire

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South West

County constituency, Cornwall council

Last 5 GE winners

LDCCCLD

Conservative 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5

EU referendum 2016

60.2% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +8.3pp above mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +9.7pp

vs Reform UK 31.5%

SouthernStrong Leave area

Who lives in North Cornwall? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

60.2%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

28.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.6%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.5%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

33.4%

UK average ~36%

Median age

48.7

UK median ~40

Age 65+

31.1%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

22.4%

UK average ~28%

How did North Cornwall vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 9,957 votes (19.4pp) · turnout 66.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of North Cornwall

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

North Cornwall within Cornwall

The Westminster constituency of North Cornwall sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Cornwall 56 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for North Cornwall at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won North Cornwall at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	LD hold	Dan Rogerson	4.2%	41.7%	48.1%	4.9% UKIP	-	1.1%	2,981	68.9%
2015	Con gain from LD	Scott Mann	5.4%	45.0%	31.2%	12.7% UKIP	4.3%	1.4%	6,621	71.8%
2017	Con hold	Scott Mann	12.1%	50.7%	36.6%	-	-	0.6%	7,200	74.0%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Scott Mann 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	9.6%	59.1%	29.9%	-	0.2%	1.2%	15,783	72.1%
2024	LD gain from Con	Ben Maguire	5.8%	27.6%	47.0%	16.5% Ref	2.6%	0.5%	9,957	66.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like North Cornwall

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to North Cornwall. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.