Who is the MP for Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor?

Alan Strickland (Labour) is the MP for Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor was won by Labour with 46.2% of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 24.0%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 34.4% and Labour on 25.7% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor in?

Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor sits within County Durham council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but County Durham covers most or all of the Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor area.

What is the demographic profile of Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor?

Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor is in North East. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 54.5% in 2016). Around 25.7% of residents have a degree, a median age of 45, and 61.1% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor, Labour won with 46.2% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor

North East · County constituency · County Durham borough

Sitting MP

Alan Strickland

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

North East

County constituency, County Durham council

Last 5 GE winners

LLLCL

Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

54.5% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +2.6pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +8.7pp

Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernBrexit-marginalWorking-class profile

Who lives in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

54.5%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

25.7%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

21.5%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

61.1%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

38.4%

UK average ~36%

Median age

44.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

25.8%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

26.8%

UK average ~28%

How did Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 8,839 votes (22.2pp) · turnout 55.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor within County Durham

The Westminster constituency of Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor sits entirely within County Durham Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
County Durham 62 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Phil Wilson Sedgefield MP	45.1%	23.5%	20.0%	3.7% UKIP	-	7.8%	8,696	62.1%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Phil Wilson Sedgefield MP	47.2%	29.5%	3.5%	16.6% UKIP	3.1%	-	6,843	61.6%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Phil Wilson Sedgefield MP	53.4%	38.8%	1.9%	4.2% UKIP	1.6%	-	6,059	65.1%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Paul Howell Sedgefield MP, pre-review boundary	38.3%	46.1%	5.4%	-	1.5%	8.7%	3,408	60.8%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Alan Strickland	46.2%	20.6%	3.7%	24.0% Ref	4.3%	1.3%	8,839	55.2%

Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Sedgefield (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.