Who is the MP for Newton Abbot?

Martin Wrigley (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Newton Abbot. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Newton Abbot at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Newton Abbot was won by Liberal Democrats with 31.7% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 27.0%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Newton Abbot?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 31.9% and Liberal Democrats on 29.3% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Newton Abbot in?

Newton Abbot sits within Teignbridge council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Teignbridge covers most or all of the Newton Abbot area.

What is the demographic profile of Newton Abbot?

Newton Abbot is in South West. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 56.0% in 2016). Around 30.3% of residents have a degree, a median age of 49, and 70.5% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Newton Abbot?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Newton Abbot, Liberal Democrats won with 31.7% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Newton Abbot in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Newton Abbot: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Newton Abbot

South West · County constituency · Teignbridge borough

Sitting MP

Martin Wrigley

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South West

County constituency, Teignbridge council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCLD

Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

56.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +4.1pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +2.6pp

Vulnerability score 7/10 (Liberal Democrats projected to lose)

SouthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Newton Abbot? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

56.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

30.3%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

16.2%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

70.5%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

28.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

49.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

31.5%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

22.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Newton Abbot vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 2,246 votes (4.7pp) · turnout 65.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Newton Abbot

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Newton Abbot within Teignbridge

The Westminster constituency of Newton Abbot sits entirely within Teignbridge Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Teignbridge 59 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Newton Abbot at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Newton Abbot at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con gain from LD	Anne Morris	7.0%	43.0%	41.9%	6.4% UKIP	1.5%	0.2%	523	69.7%
2015	Con hold	Anne Marie Morris	9.8%	47.2%	24.0%	13.9% UKIP	4.6%	0.5%	11,234	69.0%
2017	Con hold	Anne Marie Morris	22.2%	55.5%	20.5%	-	1.8%	-	17,160	72.0%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Anne Marie Morris 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	17.7%	55.6%	22.2%	-	2.9%	1.6%	17,456	71.8%
2024	LD gain from Con	Martin Wrigley	14.8%	27.0%	31.7%	17.7% Ref	4.3%	4.5%	2,246	65.0%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Newton Abbot

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Newton Abbot. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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