Who is the MP for Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West?

Dame Chi Onwurah (Labour) is the MP for Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West. They were first elected in May 2010.

Who won Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West was won by Labour with 45.6% of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 18.9%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 27.8% and Green on 21.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West in?

Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West sits within Newcastle upon Tyne council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Newcastle upon Tyne covers most or all of the Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West area.

What is the demographic profile of Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West?

Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West is in North East. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 48.6% in 2016). Around 27.9% of residents have a degree, a median age of 34, and 45.1% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West, Labour won with 45.6% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West

North East · Borough constituency · Newcastle upon Tyne borough

Sitting MP

Dame Chi Onwurah

Labour

First elected May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

North East

Borough constituency, Newcastle upon Tyne council

Last 5 GE winners

LLLLL

Labour 5/5

EU referendum 2016

48.6% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -3.3pp below mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +6.3pp

Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernBrexit-marginalWorking-class profileDiverse

Who lives in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

48.6%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

27.9%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

23.8%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

45.1%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

54.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

34.0

UK median ~40

Age 65+

17.3%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

40.4%

UK average ~28%

How did Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 11,060 votes (26.7pp) · turnout 53.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West within Newcastle upon Tyne

The Westminster constituency of Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West sits entirely within Newcastle upon Tyne Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Newcastle upon Tyne 75 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Chinyelu Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP	45.9%	19.4%	24.1%	2.2% UKIP	1.7%	6.7%	7,466	56.5%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP	55.0%	18.9%	6.3%	14.9% UKIP	4.9%	-	12,673	60.3%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP	64.9%	24.6%	4.9%	4.0% UKIP	1.6%	-	14,937	67.0%
2019notional	Labour winner	Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP, pre-review boundary	59.3%	26.6%	3.0%	-	3.0%	8.1%	15,731	63.0%
2024	Lab hold	Chi Onwurah	45.6%	10.2%	4.7%	18.9% Ref	7.8%	12.7%	11,060	53.8%

Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Newcastle upon Tyne Central (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.