Who is the MP for Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

Steve Witherden (Labour) is the MP for Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr was won by Labour with 29.4% of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 20.6%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 29.9% and Plaid Cymru on 22.8% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr in?

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr crosses multiple council boundaries: Powys (62%), Wrexham (38%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr is in Wales. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 57.9% in 2016). Around 28.6% of residents have a degree, 28.8% aged 65 or over, and 64.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr, Labour won with 29.4% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr MP Steve Witherden (Labour): GE2024 result, current poll projection

Who lives in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

57.9%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

28.6%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

20.6%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

64.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

35.2%

UK average ~36%

Median age

-

UK median ~40

Age 65+

28.8%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

24.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 3,815 votes (8.8pp) · turnout 58.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Senedd 2026 layer

How Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr voted at the Senedd election (7 May 2026)

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr sits entirely within the Senedd constituency of Gwynedd Maldwyn. Senedd elections use a closed-list proportional system; each Senedd seat returns six members.

Senedd constituency	Share of Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Winner	Runner-up	Seats (6 per constituency)
Gwynedd Maldwyn	99%	Plaid Cymru 44.2%	Reform UK 27.7%	4 Plaid Cymru, 2 Reform UK

Senedd 2026 results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new 16-seat Senedd boundary.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr within Powys and Wrexham

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr crosses multiple council boundaries: Powys (62%), Wrexham (38%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Powys 35 LSOAs	62%
Wrexham 21 LSOAs	38%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con gain from LD	Glyn Davies Montgomeryshire MP	7.1%	41.3%	37.8%	3.3% UKIP	-	2.1%	1,184	69.4%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Glyn Davies Montgomeryshire MP	5.6%	45.0%	29.3%	11.2% UKIP	3.7%	-	5,325	69.3%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Glyn Davies Montgomeryshire MP	15.9%	51.8%	25.2%	-	1.5%	-	9,285	68.7%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Craig Williams Montgomeryshire MP, pre-review boundary	24.8%	53.6%	16.8%	-	-	4.8%	14,765	69.0%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Steve Witherden	29.4%	18.0%	15.0%	20.6% Ref	4.0%	-	3,815	58.4%

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Montgomeryshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

Steve Witherden