Who is the MP for Mid Dorset and North Poole?

Vikki Slade (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Mid Dorset and North Poole. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Mid Dorset and North Poole at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Mid Dorset and North Poole was won by Liberal Democrats with 43.3% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 40.6%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Mid Dorset and North Poole?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 38.5% and Conservative on 29.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Mid Dorset and North Poole in?

Mid Dorset and North Poole crosses multiple council boundaries: Dorset (57%), Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole (43%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Mid Dorset and North Poole?

Mid Dorset and North Poole is in South West. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 57.1% in 2016). Around 31.4% of residents have a degree, a median age of 49, and 75.6% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Mid Dorset and North Poole?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Mid Dorset and North Poole, Liberal Democrats won with 43.3% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Mid Dorset and North Poole in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Mid Dorset and North Poole: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Mid Dorset and North Poole

South West · County constituency

Sitting MP

Vikki Slade

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South West

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

LDCCCLD

Conservative 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5

EU referendum 2016

57.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +5.2pp above mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +9.0pp

vs Conservative 29.5%

SouthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Mid Dorset and North Poole? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

57.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

31.4%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

14.8%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

75.6%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

23.6%

UK average ~36%

Median age

48.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

31.3%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

22.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Mid Dorset and North Poole vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 1,352 votes (2.7pp) · turnout 65.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Mid Dorset and North Poole

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Mid Dorset and North Poole within Dorset and Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

Mid Dorset and North Poole crosses multiple council boundaries: Dorset (57%), Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole (43%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Dorset 35 LSOAs	57%
Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole 26 LSOAs	43%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Mid Dorset and North Poole at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Mid Dorset and North Poole at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	LD hold	Annette Brooke	5.9%	44.5%	45.1%	4.5% UKIP	-	-	269	72.4%
2015	Con gain from LD	Michael Tomlinson	6.0%	50.8%	28.2%	12.2% UKIP	2.8%	-	10,530	72.3%
2017	Con hold	Michael Tomlinson	13.3%	59.2%	27.5%	-	-	-	15,339	74.2%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Michael Tomlinson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	7.3%	60.0%	29.9%	-	2.9%	-	16,570	73.9%
2024	LD gain from Con	Vikki Slade	9.2%	40.6%	43.3%	-	4.8%	2.1%	1,352	65.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Mid Dorset and North Poole

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Mid Dorset and North Poole. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.