Constituency profile

Mid Cheshire

North West · County constituency

Andrew Cooper MP
Sitting MP

Andrew Cooper

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
50.2% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -1.7pp below mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +11.8pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Mid Cheshire? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
50.2%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
30.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
67.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
30.8%
UK average ~36%
Median age
41.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
21.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
28.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Mid Cheshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 8,927 votes (21.5pp) · turnout 59.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Mid Cheshire

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Mid Cheshire within Cheshire West and Chester and Cheshire East

Mid Cheshire crosses multiple council boundaries: Cheshire West and Chester (84%), Cheshire East (16%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Cheshire West and Chester
48 LSOAs
84%
Cheshire East
9 LSOAs
16%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Mid Cheshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Mid Cheshire at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdStephen O'Brien Eddisbury MP21.6%51.7%22.5%4.3% UKIP--13,25563.0%
2015predecessorCon holdAntoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP23.6%51.0%9.1%12.2% UKIP3.4%0.6%12,97469.1%
2017predecessorCon holdAntoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP33.6%56.9%5.5%2.2% UKIP1.5%0.3%11,94273.0%
2019notionalConservative winnerEdward Timpson Eddisbury MP, pre-review boundary41.6%46.9%8.4%-2.0%1.1%2,49467.2%
2024Lab gain from ConAndrew Cooper44.5%23.0%5.9%19.2% Ref4.7%2.7%8,92759.0%

Mid Cheshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Eddisbury (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Mid Cheshire

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Mid Cheshire. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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