Constituency profile

Lewisham West and East Dulwich

London · Borough constituency

Ellie Reeves MP
Sitting MP

Ellie Reeves

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
28.4% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -23.5pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +6.3pp
vs Green 31.7%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Lewisham West and East Dulwich? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
28.4%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
57.3%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
11.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
50.2%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
48.8%
UK average ~36%
Median age
36.4
UK median ~40
Age 65+
12.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
34.9%
UK average ~28%

How did Lewisham West and East Dulwich vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 18,397 votes (39.6pp) · turnout 66.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Lewisham West and East Dulwich

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Lewisham West and East Dulwich within Lewisham and Southwark

Lewisham West and East Dulwich crosses multiple council boundaries: Lewisham (69%), Southwark (31%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Lewisham
40 LSOAs
69%View projection ›
Southwark
18 LSOAs
31%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Lewisham West and East Dulwich at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Lewisham West and East Dulwich at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdJim Dowd Lewisham West and Penge MP41.1%25.5%28.1%2.5% UKIP2.1%0.7%5,82865.2%
2015predecessorLab holdJim Dowd Lewisham West and Penge MP50.6%24.2%7.7%7.8% UKIP8.5%1.2%12,71466.6%
2017predecessorLab holdEllie Reeves Lewisham West and Penge MP66.6%23.0%6.2%1.3% UKIP2.2%0.7%23,16273.0%
2019notionalLabour winnerEllie Reeves Lewisham West and Penge MP, pre-review boundary66.1%14.5%9.9%-7.3%2.2%23,82366.1%
2024Lab holdEllie Reeves59.0%7.5%7.7%4.8% Ref19.4%1.6%18,39766.9%

Lewisham West and East Dulwich was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Lewisham West and Penge (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Lewisham West and East Dulwich

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Lewisham West and East Dulwich. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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