Constituency profile

Leeds South West and Morley

Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Leeds borough

Mark Sewards MP
Sitting MP

Mark Sewards

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
Borough constituency, Leeds council
Last 5 GE winners
LCCCL
Conservative 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
53.0% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +1.1pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +14.3pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Leeds South West and Morley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
53.0%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
28.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
19.6%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
66.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
32.9%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.4
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.4%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
30.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Leeds South West and Morley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 8,423 votes (21.0pp) · turnout 56.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Leeds South West and Morley

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Leeds South West and Morley within Leeds

The Westminster constituency of Leeds South West and Morley sits entirely within Leeds Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Leeds
58 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Leeds South West and Morley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Leeds South West and Morley at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdEd Balls Morley and Outwood MP37.6%35.3%16.8%3.1% UKIP-7.2%1,10165.2%
2015predecessorCon gain from Lab CoopAndrea Jenkyns Morley and Outwood MP38.0%38.9%3.0%16.5% UKIP2.6%1.0%42263.6%
2017predecessorCon holdAndrea Jenkyns Morley and Outwood MP46.7%50.7%2.6%---2,10468.4%
2019notionalConservative winnerAndrea Jenkyns Morley and Outwood MP, pre-review boundary36.8%53.1%2.8%-3.3%4.0%7,11461.1%
2024Lab gain from ConMark Sewards44.0%23.0%4.5%20.4% Ref6.3%1.9%8,42356.0%

Leeds South West and Morley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Morley and Outwood (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Leeds South West and Morley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds South West and Morley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

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Sources

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