Constituency profile

Leeds South

Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Leeds borough

Hilary Benn MP
Sitting MP

Hilary Benn

Labour

First elected June 1999Cabinet: Secretary of State for Northern Ireland

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
Borough constituency, Leeds council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
55.7% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +3.8pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +2.4pp
vs Green 25.1%
NorthernLeave-leaningDiverse

Who lives in Leeds South? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
55.7%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
28.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
24.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
36.7%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
62.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
32.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
13.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
41.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Leeds South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 11,279 votes (35.6pp) · turnout 41.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Leeds South

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Leeds South within Leeds

The Westminster constituency of Leeds South sits entirely within Leeds Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Leeds
75 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Leeds South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Leeds South at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdHilary Benn Leeds Central MP49.3%20.2%20.8%--9.7%10,64546.0%
2015predecessorLab holdHilary Benn Leeds Central MP55.0%17.3%3.4%15.7% UKIP7.9%0.7%16,96755.1%
2017predecessorLab holdHilary Benn Leeds Central MP70.2%20.5%2.2%4.3% UKIP2.5%0.3%23,69853.2%
2019notionalLabour winnerHilary Benn Leeds Central MP, pre-review boundary58.4%26.3%4.4%-3.8%7.1%13,88657.9%
2024Lab holdHilary Benn54.0%13.2%4.2%-18.4%10.1%11,27941.7%

Leeds South was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Leeds Central (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Leeds South

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds South. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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