Constituency profile

Leeds North West

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · Leeds borough

Katie White MP
Sitting MP

Katie White

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
County constituency, Leeds council
Last 5 GE winners
LDLDLCL
Liberal Democrats 2/5, Labour 2/5, Conservative 1/5
EU referendum 2016
35.4% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -16.5pp below mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +0.3pp
Vulnerability score 4/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Leeds North West? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
35.4%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
42.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
13.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
74.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
24.9%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.4
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Leeds North West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 11,896 votes (23.9pp) · turnout 69.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Leeds North West

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Leeds North West within Leeds

The Westminster constituency of Leeds North West sits entirely within Leeds Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Leeds
57 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Leeds North West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Leeds North West at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010LD holdGreg Mulholland21.0%26.6%47.5%1.4% UKIP1.2%2.4%9,10366.5%
2015LD holdGreg Mulholland30.1%18.6%36.8%6.9% UKIP7.0%0.6%2,90770.0%
2017Lab gain from LDAlex Sobel44.1%19.7%35.0%-1.3%-4,22467.9%
2019notionalConservative winnerStuart Andrew Pudsey MP, pre-review boundary38.3%41.9%14.8%-2.3%2.7%2,00177.7%
2024Lab gain from ConKatie White46.0%22.1%11.3%11.9% Ref6.5%2.2%11,89669.5%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Leeds North West

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds North West. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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