Who is the MP for Leeds Central and Headingley?

Alex Sobel (Labour (Co-op)) is the MP for Leeds Central and Headingley. They were first elected in June 2017.

Who won Leeds Central and Headingley at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Leeds Central and Headingley was won by Labour with 50.2% of the vote, ahead of Green on 23.5%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Leeds Central and Headingley?

PollCheck's current projection has Green on 33.9% and Labour on 26.1% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Leeds Central and Headingley in?

Leeds Central and Headingley sits within Leeds council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Leeds covers most or all of the Leeds Central and Headingley area.

What is the demographic profile of Leeds Central and Headingley?

Leeds Central and Headingley is in Yorkshire and The Humber. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 43.0% in 2016). Around 39.2% of residents have a degree, a median age of 25, and 32.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Leeds Central and Headingley?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Leeds Central and Headingley, Labour won with 50.2% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Leeds Central and Headingley in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Leeds Central and Headingley: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Liberal Democrats, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Leeds Central and Headingley

Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Leeds borough

Sitting MP

Alex Sobel

Labour (Co-op)

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Yorkshire and The Humber

Borough constituency, Leeds council

Last 5 GE winners

LDLDLLL

Labour 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5

EU referendum 2016

43.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -8.9pp below mean

Current outlook

Green +7.8pp

Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernRemain-leaningDiverse

Who lives in Leeds Central and Headingley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

43.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

39.2%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

9.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

32.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

67.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

24.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

8.7%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

66.6%

UK average ~28%

How did Leeds Central and Headingley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 8,422 votes (26.7pp) · turnout 44.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Leeds Central and Headingley

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Leeds Central and Headingley within Leeds

The Westminster constituency of Leeds Central and Headingley sits entirely within Leeds Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Leeds 58 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Leeds Central and Headingley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Leeds Central and Headingley at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	LD hold	Greg Mulholland Leeds North West MP	21.0%	26.6%	47.5%	1.4% UKIP	1.2%	2.4%	9,103	66.5%
2015predecessor	LD hold	Greg Mulholland Leeds North West MP	30.1%	18.6%	36.8%	6.9% UKIP	7.0%	0.6%	2,907	70.0%
2017predecessor	Lab gain from LD	Alex Sobel Leeds North West MP	44.1%	19.7%	35.0%	-	1.3%	-	4,224	67.9%
2019notional	Labour winner	Alex Sobel Leeds North West MP, pre-review boundary	63.4%	17.9%	11.2%	-	3.5%	4.0%	19,879	57.9%
2024	Lab hold	Alex Sobel	50.2%	7.1%	8.3%	7.6% Ref	23.5%	3.4%	8,422	44.8%

Leeds Central and Headingley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Leeds North West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Leeds Central and Headingley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds Central and Headingley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.