Who is the MP for Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice?

Emma Hardy (Labour) is the MP for Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice. They were first elected in June 2017.

Who won Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice was won by Labour with 46.8% of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 23.3%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 40.5% and Labour on 21.9% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What is the demographic profile of Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice?

Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice is in Yorkshire and The Humber. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 61.6% in 2016). Around 25.4% of residents have a degree, a median age of 41, and 58.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice, Labour won with 46.8% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice

Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency

Sitting MP

Emma Hardy

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Yorkshire and The Humber

Borough constituency

Last 5 GE winners

LLLCL

Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

61.6% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +9.7pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +18.6pp

Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

61.6%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

25.4%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

22.1%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

58.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

40.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

41.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

23.3%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

29.7%

UK average ~28%

How did Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 8,979 votes (23.5pp) · turnout 52.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice within Kingston upon Hull, City of and East Riding of Yorkshire

Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice crosses multiple council boundaries: Kingston upon Hull, City of (60%), East Riding of Yorkshire (40%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Kingston upon Hull, City of 39 LSOAs	60%
East Riding of Yorkshire 26 LSOAs	40%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Alan Johnson Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle MP	42.5%	20.2%	24.2%	5.4% UKIP	-	7.8%	5,742	55.0%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Alan Johnson Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle MP	49.2%	17.5%	10.0%	19.9% UKIP	3.0%	0.5%	9,333	53.8%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Emma Hardy Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle MP	53.1%	29.8%	6.4%	4.0% UKIP	1.0%	5.7%	8,025	57.4%
2019notional	Conservative winner	David Davis Haltemprice and Howden MP, pre-review boundary	33.8%	42.5%	9.2%	-	1.1%	13.4%	3,626	56.0%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Emma Hardy	46.8%	18.1%	6.9%	23.3% Ref	4.6%	0.3%	8,979	52.1%

Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.