Constituency profile

Hornsey and Friern Barnet

London · Borough constituency

Catherine West MP
Sitting MP

Catherine West

Labour

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LDLLLL
Labour 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5
EU referendum 2016
30.2% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -21.7pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +21.8pp
vs Green 19.6%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Hornsey and Friern Barnet? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
30.2%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
60.3%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
11.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
49.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
49.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
15.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
32.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Hornsey and Friern Barnet vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 21,475 votes (44.2pp) · turnout 69.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Hornsey and Friern Barnet

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Hornsey and Friern Barnet within Haringey and Barnet

Hornsey and Friern Barnet crosses multiple council boundaries: Haringey (82%), Barnet (18%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Haringey
50 LSOAs
82%View projection ›
Barnet
11 LSOAs
18%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Hornsey and Friern Barnet at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Hornsey and Friern Barnet at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLD holdLynne Featherstone Hornsey and Wood Green MP34.0%16.7%46.5%-2.3%0.5%6,87569.9%
2015predecessorLab gain from LDCatherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP50.9%9.3%31.8%2.2% UKIP5.4%0.4%11,05872.9%
2017predecessorLab holdCatherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP65.4%14.8%16.1%0.7% UKIP1.9%1.1%30,73877.9%
2019notionalLabour winnerCatherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP, pre-review boundary57.3%11.8%25.6%-3.8%1.5%16,60774.4%
2024Lab holdCatherine West58.7%8.2%12.5%4.1% Ref14.5%1.9%21,47569.6%

Hornsey and Friern Barnet was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Hornsey and Wood Green (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Hornsey and Friern Barnet

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hornsey and Friern Barnet. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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