Constituency profile

Hexham

North East · County constituency

Joe Morris MP
Sitting MP

Joe Morris

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
45.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -6.6pp below mean
Current outlook
Conservative +9.4pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Hexham? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
45.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
39.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
69.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
29.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
50.6
UK median ~40
Age 65+
31.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
20.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Hexham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 3,713 votes (7.2pp) · turnout 67.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Hexham

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Hexham within Northumberland and Newcastle upon Tyne

Hexham crosses multiple council boundaries: Northumberland (88%), Newcastle upon Tyne (12%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Northumberland
50 LSOAs
88%
Newcastle upon Tyne
7 LSOAs
12%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Hexham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Hexham at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdGuy Opperman19.0%43.2%29.9%--7.9%5,78872.0%
2015Con holdGuy Opperman24.9%52.7%6.8%9.9% UKIP5.6%-12,03172.6%
2017Con holdGuy Opperman34.1%54.1%7.1%2.0% UKIP2.7%-9,23675.7%
2019notionalConservative winnerGuy Opperman 2019 MP, pre-review boundary31.7%54.3%9.4%-3.6%1.0%12,18674.2%
2024Lab gain from ConJoe Morris46.3%39.1%4.6%-4.8%5.3%3,71367.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Hexham

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hexham. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.