Who is the MP for Harrogate and Knaresborough?

Tom Gordon (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Harrogate and Knaresborough. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Harrogate and Knaresborough at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Harrogate and Knaresborough was won by Liberal Democrats with 46.0% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 30.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Harrogate and Knaresborough?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 41.9% and Conservative on 22.8% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Harrogate and Knaresborough in?

Harrogate and Knaresborough sits within North Yorkshire council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but North Yorkshire covers most or all of the Harrogate and Knaresborough area.

What is the demographic profile of Harrogate and Knaresborough?

Harrogate and Knaresborough is in Yorkshire and The Humber. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 47.2% in 2016). Around 40.9% of residents have a degree, a median age of 46, and 69.4% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Harrogate and Knaresborough?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Harrogate and Knaresborough, Liberal Democrats won with 46.0% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Harrogate and Knaresborough in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Harrogate and Knaresborough: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Harrogate and Knaresborough

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · North Yorkshire borough

Sitting MP

Tom Gordon

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Yorkshire and The Humber

County constituency, North Yorkshire council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCLD

Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

47.2% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -4.7pp below mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +19.1pp

vs Conservative 22.8%

NorthernBrexit-marginalGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Harrogate and Knaresborough? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

47.2%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

40.9%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

13.5%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

69.4%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

29.6%

UK average ~36%

Median age

45.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

26.4%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

25.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Harrogate and Knaresborough vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 8,238 votes (15.8pp) · turnout 66.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Harrogate and Knaresborough

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Harrogate and Knaresborough within North Yorkshire

The Westminster constituency of Harrogate and Knaresborough sits entirely within North Yorkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
North Yorkshire 66 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Harrogate and Knaresborough at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Harrogate and Knaresborough at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con gain from LD	Andrew Jones	6.4%	45.7%	43.8%	2.0% UKIP	-	2.1%	1,039	71.1%
2015	Con hold	Andrew Jones	10.1%	52.7%	22.1%	10.6% UKIP	4.4%	-	16,371	69.9%
2017	Con hold	Andrew Jones	20.1%	55.5%	23.5%	-	-	1.0%	18,168	73.4%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Andrew Jones 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	9.6%	52.0%	36.2%	-	-	2.2%	8,787	73.3%
2024	LD gain from Con	Tom Gordon	8.0%	30.2%	46.1%	10.9% Ref	3.4%	1.5%	8,238	66.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Harrogate and Knaresborough

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Harrogate and Knaresborough. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.