Who is the MP for Harborough, Oadby and Wigston?

Neil O'Brien (Conservative) is the MP for Harborough, Oadby and Wigston. They were first elected in June 2017.

Who won Harborough, Oadby and Wigston at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston was won by Conservative with 36.9% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 32.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston?

PollCheck's current projection has Conservative on 27.2% and Reform UK on 23.2% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Harborough, Oadby and Wigston in?

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston crosses multiple council boundaries: Oadby and Wigston (59%), Harborough (41%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Harborough, Oadby and Wigston?

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston is in East Midlands. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 53.1% in 2016). Around 35.3% of residents have a degree, a median age of 44, and 74.4% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Harborough, Oadby and Wigston, Conservative won with 36.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Harborough, Oadby and Wigston in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Conservative.

Constituency profile

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston

East Midlands · County constituency

Sitting MP

Neil O'Brien

Conservative

First elected June 2017Shadow: Shadow Minister (Policy Renewal and Development)

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East Midlands

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCC

Conservative 5/5

EU referendum 2016

53.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +1.2pp above mean

Current outlook

Conservative +4.0pp

vs Reform UK 23.2%

MidlandsBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Harborough, Oadby and Wigston? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

53.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

35.3%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

16.3%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

74.4%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

24.2%

UK average ~36%

Median age

43.7

UK median ~40

Age 65+

26.1%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

27.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Harborough, Oadby and Wigston vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 2,378 votes (4.7pp) · turnout 65.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Harborough, Oadby and Wigston

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston within Oadby and Wigston and Harborough

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston crosses multiple council boundaries: Oadby and Wigston (59%), Harborough (41%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Oadby and Wigston 36 LSOAs	59%
Harborough 25 LSOAs	41%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Harborough, Oadby and Wigston at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Harborough, Oadby and Wigston at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	Edward Garnier Harborough MP	12.7%	48.9%	31.1%	2.7% UKIP	-	4.6%	9,797	70.5%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Edward Garnier Harborough MP	15.3%	52.7%	13.4%	14.4% UKIP	4.1%	-	19,632	67.5%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Neil O'Brien Harborough MP	30.7%	52.3%	12.6%	2.4% UKIP	1.9%	-	12,429	73.1%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Neil O'Brien Harborough MP, pre-review boundary	24.8%	54.5%	16.9%	-	3.1%	0.7%	15,608	70.3%
2024	Con hold	Neil O'Brien	32.2%	36.9%	9.4%	12.6% Ref	8.5%	0.4%	2,378	65.4%

Harborough, Oadby and Wigston was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Harborough (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Harborough, Oadby and Wigston

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Harborough, Oadby and Wigston. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.